Sunday, October 21, 2007

COT Report

Source: U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (WWW.cftc.gov)

Commitments of Traders:

The Commitments of Traders (COT) reports provide a breakdown of each Tuesday’s open interest for market reports in which 20 or more traders hold positions equal to or above the reporting levels established by the CFTC.

Reports are available in both a short and long format. The short report shows open interest separately by reportable and nonreportable positions. For reportable positions, additional data is provided for commercial and non-commercial holdings, spreading, changes from the previous report, percents of open interest by category, and numbers of traders.

The long report, in addition to the information in the short report, groups the data by crop year, where appropriate, and shows the concentration of positions held by the largest four and eight traders.

Supplemental reports show aggregate futures and option positions of Noncommercial, Commercial, and Index Traders in 12 selected agricultural commodities.

IndexTrader GroupFriday 10/12/07Friday 10/19/07Difference
Dow Jones Index CompositeCommercials1720-39-1759
Large Traders-730-1351-621
Small Speculators-99013902380
NASDAQ 100Commercials35232509-1014
Large Traders35523331-221
Small Speculators-7075-58401235
S&P 500Commercials6236653142-9224
Large Traders-370043530572309
Small Speculators-25362-178347528
Russell 2000Commercials43683717-651
Large Traders-8880-8545335
Small Speculators45124828316



Why the small speculators have to increase their futures positions at the worst possible moment for all the indexes all the time? What a coincidence?

Do you want to follow the small guys (grandpa and grandma)or the commercials (GS, big guys)? Interpretation will follow.

Enjoy,

Mkt Swimmer

2 comments:

Unknown said...

thorough interpretation please swim... :)

Mkt swimmer said...

Please see the guru view. To me it's not a surprise that tech stocks pulled up the market today. We will keep an eye on the market sentiment, any changes i will keep you posted.